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School soccer odds Week 13: Notre Dame-USC Over, different finest bets

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Right here we’re, people. We lastly made it to the final week of the school soccer common season.

After 13 weeks of ball, I am nonetheless excited to see which groups get on the market and provides it their all.

So for the ultimate time for this common season, let’s dive into my finest bets (all odds by way of FOX Wager).

No. 18 Notre Dame at No. 7 USC (7:30pm ET Saturday, ABC)

I am 36 years outdated. I’ve watched soccer since I used to be 5 and have been taking part in competitively at a excessive degree since I confirmed up at Oregon a month after my 18th birthday. I retired from soccer in 2016, and since then, I nonetheless eat the game as a fan and watch faculty and NFL sport movie.

I’ve by no means seen a staff like USC.

The Trojans are two wins away from a playoff look with an offense that ranks second in factors per drive and a protection that is 104th in limiting factors per offensive drive. USC’s line of defense is seventh in havoc charge and has compelled 24 turnovers this season — that is good for a staff turnover margin charge of plus 21! It is practically inconceivable to have a line of defense that good with a protection who can drive that many turnovers and nonetheless be 104th in defensive factors per drive. SC has gained two video games by three factors every on the street in opposition to ranked groups whereas forcing 4 turnovers in every sport. There is no option to clarify this success.

Each fiber in my physique continues to need to fade USC, however that has been unhealthy enterprise. The Trojans proceed to win and canopy, simply as they did Saturday evening. So the higher play is the Over on Saturday after they host the Irish.

Notre Dame’s offense is hit and miss, however in opposition to SC, each offense is a success. Utah scored 43, Arizona 41, Cal’s Ninety fifth-ranked offense scored 35 and UCLA — regardless of 4 turnovers on Saturday — nonetheless scored 45 factors. USC has not performed a protection like Notre Dame’s in fairly some time, however I am undecided that it issues if Notre Dame is sweet on protection or not.

USC will rating. The Trojans at all times find yourself scoring. However is Notre Dame quick sufficient on protection to maintain up? So factors can be scored on Saturday. Take the factors.

PICK: Over 62 factors scored by each groups mixed at FOX Wager

No. 12 Washington at Washington State (10:30pm ET Saturday, ESPN)

The Apple Cup within the Palouse with a 7:30 pm native kick — have to like the house Cougars on this spot.

The forecast for Saturday evening in Pullman is chilly with moist climate, both freezing rain or snow. This isn’t ultimate for Washington’s high-powered passing assault going through the most effective protection they’ve seen all season. The Cougars are ranked twelfth in defensive effectivity and twenty first in factors per drive. They’re outfitted to decelerate Washington’s passing assault, which we have seen is feasible after they play higher defenses like Oregon State and Cal.

Sure, I’m involved about Washington State’s offense within the chilly and moist circumstances. The Cougars can run the ball, though they largely select to disregard that a part of their offense. They’ve a shaky offensive line which may result in stress and errors from quarterback Cam Ward.

Nevertheless, Washington’s protection shouldn’t present a lot resistance. I like the house Cougars to drag a small upset on this sport.

PICK: Washington State (+2 at FOX Wager) to losAnd by fewer than 2 factors (or win outright)

No. 12 Oregon at No. 23 Oregon State (3:30pm ET Saturday, ABC)

The sport previously generally known as the Civil Struggle goes to be a low-scoring affair, and that is an unusual prevalence on this matchup.

Oregon State’s protection is legit, and the Beavers deserve extra nationwide respect. They rank thirtieth in factors per drive and twenty first in passing success charge. They battle stopping the run, however that hasn’t damage them a lot this season. They only do not permit factors.

Oregon’s offense is excellent, however quarterback Bo Nix is ​​hurting. He gutted by means of the Geese win on Saturday, scoring simply sufficient to beat Utah. With out Nix being full velocity, the Geese’ offense is simply much less explosive and Oregon State’s protection will be capable to gradual them down.

On the flip facet, Oregon State’s offense is run-based; it focuses on gaining yards off the bottom. They use play motion passes, screens and different “simpler” choices to maneuver the ball by means of the air. Oregon’s protection is constructed to cease this offense, as we simply noticed in opposition to Utah. I might even make the case that the Beavers’ offense is simply Utah-light however with a worse quarterback.

I really feel assured Oregon can decelerate the Beavers. With each groups making an attempt to run the ball, this clock will run. I’ll take the Underneath.

PICK: Underneath 57 factors scored by each groups mixed at FOX Wager

Arizona State at Arizona (3 pm ET Friday, FS1)

The Territorial Cup has been one-sided these days, with the Solar Devils profitable 5 straight in opposition to their rival Wildcats. That streak ends this season because the Wildcats are in a significantly better place than the Solar Devils.

Arizona State fired Herm Edwards after a Week 3 loss to Jap Michigan and has solely posted two wins since. The Solar Devils beat Washington at dwelling 45-38 and Colorado 42-34, and since then, they’ve misplaced three in a row with out masking a sport. They’ve cycled by means of quarterbacks, have a good run sport however are very poor defensively. As a matter of reality, they rank 69th in factors per drive on offense and 128th on protection.

Their rival Wildcats have 4 wins however have been way more aggressive this season due to their offense. The Wildcats offense ranks thirty seventh in factors per drive and first within the nation in explosive play charge. Arizona does most of its injury by means of the air, and Arizona State has proven no capability to cease any opponent doing something.

The Wildcats have to attain as a result of their protection is terrible, however I do not suppose the Solar Devils can take sufficient benefit of that to remain throughout the quantity.

Give me the Cats.

PICK: Arizona (-4 at FOX Wager) to win by greater than 4 factors

No. 16 UCLA at Cal (4:30pm ET Friday, FOX)

Here is an inventory of issues you are able to do as a substitute of wagering on this sport: buy groceries, mow the garden, make a leftover turkey sandwich, throw a ball, go exercise, take a nap. You get the concept.

However in the event you simply have to really feel the fun of wagering on a Pac-12 sport, take the Underneath.

UCLA’s season has “ended.” Bruins performed rival USC robust final weekend earlier than ultimately shedding 48-45. They’re now not in rivalry for the Pac-12 title sport. Every thing they’d labored for this season after beginning 7-0 with wins over Washington and Utah are for naught, as they will not be in Vegas making an attempt to win the convention for the primary time since 1998.

It is simple to make the case for Cal to cowl this sport, however guys, Cal is totally untrustworthy and wagering a single cent on the Bears can be a waste of your cash.

Cal broke a six-game convention shedding streak in opposition to Stanford within the Large Recreation final weekend, profitable 27-20. Bears wanted a defensive rating to cowl this sport after their quarterback threw two interceptions in the long run zone. They rank 97th in offensive factors per drive and 82nd on protection. There’s nothing they do nicely. They don’t seem to be going to a bowl. I have no idea their motivation for this sport.

So you’ve a sport the place UCLA is likely to be flat taking part in a Cal staff that is likely to be flat. Or UCLA exhibits up and dominates. Or Cal performs higher than its file and UCLA is down unhealthy, and Cal covers this sport.

Contemplating all of the uncertainty, the Underneath is your finest play.

PICK: Underneath 60.5 factors scored by each groups mixed

No. 10 Utah at Colorado (4 pm ET Saturday, Pac-12 Community)

Utah is heading to Boulder after a poor efficiency in Eugene in opposition to Oregon. Utah quarterback Cam Rising performed his worst sport within the final two seasons. And since there’s nonetheless a presumably the Utes might play within the Pac-12 title sport, I believe Cam and his offense have a superb bounce-back efficiency this weekend in opposition to Colorado.

However greater than something, Colorado is likely to be the worst staff within the sport with a lame duck teaching workers and a roster stuffed with gamers that may quickly be in search of new houses by way of the switch portal. Within the final 5 weeks, the Buffaloes have misplaced and did not cowl in opposition to all 4 ranked groups they’ve performed. They misplaced to Oregon State by 33, Oregon by 39, USC by 38 and Washington by 47.

Utah goes to smoke Colorado.

PICK: Utah (-29.5 at FOX Wager) to win by greater than 29.5 factors

Geoff Schwartz performed eight seasons within the NFL for 5 totally different groups. He began at proper deal with for the College of Oregon for 3 seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 choice his senior yr. He’s an NFL analyst for FOX Sports activities. Comply with him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.

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