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Fantasy basketball ideas and NBA betting picks for Tuesday

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ESPN’s fantasy basketball and basketball betting ideas cheat sheet is your pregame vacation spot for basketball betting predictions and our greatest intel and knowledge that can assist you make sensible fantasy and wagering choices. NBA recreation odds for November 22 are offered by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy recommendation relies on ESPN 10-team leagues.

What you have to know for Tuesday’s video games

Laker Fade: The Lakers have received three straight (all with out LeBron James) … it is a lure! Fading the Lakers at each flip is smart tonight provided that the books have adjusted a bit for his or her latest run. In the course of the 4 video games James missed, Los Angeles’ offensive effectivity has spiked (up 15.1%), however is {that a} predictive stat? Three of these 4 video games have come towards the three worst defenses within the NBA that each one play at a top-12 tempo. This matchup just isn’t that because the Suns rank eighth in protection and twenty fifth in tempo. By some means, regardless of the sped-up matchups, the Lakers’ tempo has dropped throughout this LeBron-less run, a significant drawback if the effectivity falls off a cliff tonight. If James sits once more to purchase three extra off days, pouncing on the Laker prop unders is the play. If he performs, be much less aggressive, however nonetheless head in that course.

Pursuing Payne: The Suns will not have Chris Paul within the lineup tonight towards the Lakers resulting from a lingering foot damage. In his place di lui, Cameron Payne (74% accessible) has been fairly productive because the lead level guard for Phoenix, averaging 22.3 factors and 7 dimes in the course of the previous week. The Lakers have allowed almost 53 Draft Kings factors per recreation to level guards, the sixth-highest price within the league, aiding Payne’s projection for tonight.

Shakes and Takes: The Sixers are hurting. Joel Embiid, James Harden, and Tyrese Maxey all have suffered various levels of foot accidents just lately. With all three stars sidelined for tonight’s anticipated matchup with Ben Simmons and the Nets, Shake Milton out of the blue turns into a key fantasy issue. The combo guard is rostered in simply six p.c of ESPN leagues and but has averaged 21 factors whereas sporting a wealthy 25% utilization price the previous two video games. This utilization price was with Embiid, thoughts you, so the offensive upside is actual with Milton. De’Anthony Melton (80% accessible), in the meantime, intends to take the ball from opponents, as he is eighth in steals per recreation and third in steal proportion this season and will see an enormous workload on either side of the ball within the wake of Philly’s damage points.

Getting Grizzlies: Memphis lists Ja Morant as uncertain to play towards the Kings resulting from an ankle damage, whereas Desmond Bane is dominated out resulting from a toe damage. Morant’s doubtless absence vaults Tyus Jones (88% accessible in ESPN leagues) into an essential distribution position and an ideal goal for help props. Filling in for Bane’s perimeter scoring is Dillon Brooks (43%), recent from scoring 30 factors towards Brooklyn over the weekend. It is also time to ensure Jaren Jackson Jr. (35%) is universally rostered, as he already has eight blocks in simply two video games and simply poured in 25 factors towards the Thunder.

Denver’s Depth: Rostered in only a fifth of ESPN leagues, Bones Hyland is producing huge numbers for the Nuggets. Denver is unlikely to have both of Jamal Murray or Nikola Jokic within the lineup tonight towards the Pistons, shifting Hyland into a significant position. The second-year guard has averaged 21 factors throughout his final seven video games however is now including extra help quantity along with his star teammates sidelined. As wild because it appears, even DeAndre Jordan, a fantasy free agent in almost 99% of leagues, has gained relevance with Jokic sidelined. The previous All-Star posted a season-best 17 boards final day trip and will ship once more towards a younger Detroit frontcourt.

–Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe

Sport of the evening

Brooklyn Nets at Philadelphia 76ers
7:30 pm ET, Wells Fargo Middle, Philadelphia, Pennslyvania

line: Nets (-8)
Cash traces: Nets (-335), 76ers (+260)
Whole: 217 factors
BPI Projected Whole: 226.2 factors
BPIWin%: Nets (57.5%)

Possible: Furkan Korkmaz (knee), Tobias Harris (hip)
questionable: Yuta Watanabe, Nic Claxton
Dominated Out: Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, James Harden
Notes: BPI numbers factored in gamers who’re dominated out however assumes questionable gamers will play

Fantasy streamer: Shake Milton (rostered in 6.0% of ESPN leagues) is likely one of the few ball handlers the 76ers have at their disposal with Tyrese Maxey and James Harden injured. In consecutive video games, Milton has scored 27 or extra fantasy factors and performed 30 or extra minutes. The 76ers will depend on him for offensive manufacturing. — Moody

Fantasy streamer: Montrezl Harrell (rostered in 30.6% of ESPN leagues) is anticipated to see a ton of utilization on Tuesday evening towards the Nets with Joel Embiid out with a mid-foot sprain. When Embiid missed the Knicks recreation on November 4th, Harrell scored 27 fantasy factors. — Moody

Greatest wager: Ben Simmons over 10.5 factors. Simmons is a maddening fantasy choice as a result of we all know he might be dynamic in transition and pile on the rebounds and assists. He lastly seemed desperate to contribute offensively on Sunday towards Memphis, and he ought to be much more desperate to show a degree to an offended Philadelphia fan base Tuesday. Simmons would not need to face injured Joel Embiid (or the crew’s beginning guards, for that matter), and that is a giant deal. Philly could have no rim protectors to dissuade Simmons from driving the lane. Search for the Nets to purposely contain Simmons early, taking the antagonized crowd out of the sport, and get him double-digit factors by halftime. –Eric Karabell

Greatest wager: Kevin Durant over 27.5 factors. The 76ers have nobody defensively who can grasp with Durant. In his final six video games towards Philadelphia, he averaged 22.2 area targets and 30.0 factors. There’s a robust probability that development continues on Tuesday evening towards the 76ers. — Moody

Breaking down the remainder of the slate

Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies
8 pm ET, FedEx Discussion board, Memphis, Tennessee

line: Grizzlies (-1)
Cash traces: Grizzlies (-120), Kings (+100)
Whole: 234 factors
BPI Projected Whole: 236.8 factors
BPIWin%: Grizzlies (56.5%)

questionable: Ja Morant
Dominated Out: Desmond Bane
Notes: BPI numbers factored in gamers who’re dominated out however assumes questionable gamers will play

Fantasy streamer: John Konchar (rostered in 7.3% of ESPN leagues) is on the streaming radar whereas Desmond Bane is out with a toe damage. Each of Konchar’s final two video games noticed him rating 44 fantasy factors. Extra playmaking alternatives ought to be given to him. — Moody

Greatest wager: Harrison Barnes over 5.5 rebounds. Barnes has made his means off fantasy rosters along with his disappointing scoring this season, however issues have been higher recently. Barnes comes off a 27-point recreation towards Detroit and, for rebounding functions, has eight or extra boards in 4 of six video games. He’ll get the over on rebounds towards Memphis. — Karabell

Greatest wager: Kings +1.0. Again the underdog Kings towards a Grizzlies crew with out Ja Morant and Desmond Bane. Sacramento ranks second in factors scored per 100 possessions within the league. The Kings even have one of the best efficient area purpose proportion within the league. Sacramento has lined the unfold of their final seven video games. Moreover, the Kings are 9-0 towards the unfold of their final 9 video games taking part in on sooner or later of relaxation. — Moody

Detroit Pistons at Denver Nuggets
9 pm ET, Ball Area, Denver, Colorado

Line: Nuggets (-5.5)
Cash traces: Nuggets (-225), Pistons (+185)
Whole: 228.0 factors
BPI Projected Whole: 228.7 factors
BPIWin%: Nuggets (82.1%)

Possible: Bones Hyland (hip)
questionable: Ish Smith (calf), Aaron Gordon (sickness)
Uncertain: Jamal Murray (COVID-19 protocols), Nikola Jokic (COVID-19 protocols)
Dominated Out: Jeff Inexperienced (knee)
Notes: BPI numbers factored in gamers who’re dominated out however assumes questionable gamers will play

Fantasy streamer: Bones Hyland (rostered in 20% of ESPN leagues) will see important minutes towards the Pistons with Jamal Murray uncertain to play. He completed with 52 fantasy factors towards the Mavericks on Sunday. — Moody

Greatest wager: Michael Porter Jr. over 25.5 factors + assists + rebounds. Porter has struggled within the final three video games, averaging 9.7 PPG, 3.7 APG, and three.7 RPG. As a result of absences of Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon, he’s well-positioned to bounce again towards the Pistons. Detroit ranks twenty ninth in factors allowed per 100 possessions. — Moody

Greatest wager: Pistons +6.5. The Nuggets can be with out a number of key gamers, giving the Pistons an opportunity to maintain this shut. By way of factors allowed per 100 possessions, Denver ranks twenty sixth. The Nuggets are 1-6 towards the unfold of their final seven residence video games once they play a crew with a dropping file. — Moody

Greatest wager: Jaden Ivey over 18.5 factors. Somebody has to attain the factors for the Pistons with Cade Cunningham out and Ivey scored 24 in the newest recreation, and has averaged 21 PPG over the previous 5. He is getting greater than 16 area purpose makes an attempt per recreation in that span and attending to the free throw line. Search for Ivey to attain 20 PPG on a extra common foundation now. — Karabell

Los Angeles Lakers v Phoenix Suns
10 pm ET, Footprint Middle, Phoenix, Arizona

line: Suns (-7.5)
Cash traces: Suns (-320), Lakers (+250)
Whole: 228 factors
BPI Projected Whole: 230.3 factors
BPIWin%: Suns (75.4%)

questionable: LeBron James, Anthony Davis, Juan Toscano-Anderson
Dominated Out: Landry Shamet, Chris Paul
Notes: BPI numbers factored in gamers who’re dominated out however assumes questionable gamers will play

Fantasy streamer: Cameron Payne (rostered in 25.8% of ESPN leagues) is one other Suns participant that may be profitable whether or not you’re looking at prop bets or as a streamer. Like Booker, he is additionally carried out effectively whereas Paul has been out. During the last six video games, Payne has averaged 20.2 PPG, 6.3 APG, and three.7 RPG. Over the previous six video games, he has scored 32 or extra fantasy factors in 5 of them, together with 50 or extra in three of them. — Moody

Greatest wager: Devin Booker over 40.5 factors + assists + rebounds. Booker has been implausible since Chris Paul has been out. During the last six video games, he is averaged 28.3 PPG, 7.2 APG and 5.8 RPG in 36.9 MPG. Taking pictures guards have had some large performances this season towards the Lakers. Booker has averaged 31.0 PPG, 7.0 APG and 4.5 RPG in his final two video games towards Los Angeles. — Moody

Edge analytics

BPI highest projected totals

1.Denver Nuggets (119.4)
2Brooklyn Nets (119.3)
3.Phoenix Suns (119)

BPI lowest projected totals

1. Sacramento Kings (109.3)
2. Los Angeles Lakers (112.1)
3.Philadelphia 76ers (112.1)

BPI high likelihood to win (straight up)

1.Denver Nuggets (82.1%)
2.Phoenix Suns (75.4%)
3.Brooklyn Nets (57.5%)

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