When you’ve been following our NBA picks in opposition to the unfold as of late, you will be accustomed to this subsequent half: we cashed one in every of three picks on Friday, driving the Mavericks to a dominant win however dropping out on the Thunder and Knicks as street underdogs.
Can we flip the script and hit on two or three of our picks to begin the week? Seven of the eight residence groups in motion on Monday are favored at BetMGM, although we’re skeptical of at the very least one in every of them holding serve on their very own ground.
This is a take a look at which groups we’re betting to open the week:
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NBA Monday odds and picks (by way of BetMGM)
- Cavaliers -2.5 vs. Hawks
- Pelicans -6.5 vs. Warriors
- Jazz +3.5 @ Clippers
Cavaliers vs. Hawks predictions and evaluation
Will the actual Cavaliers please rise up? This staff owned the NBA’s greatest internet ranking for a lot of the season, however just a few surprising accidents to key gamers contributed to a shocking five-game slide earlier this month.
Cleveland snapped the spell with a double-overtime win over the Hornets and adopted that with a 26-point win over the Warmth on Sunday. That bodes nicely for this spot: groups coming off a 25-point win or higher this season have posted as many double-digit wins (5) as outright losses (5), and 9 of the 14 groups in that spot gained by at the very least 4 factors.
With Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen each just a few video games faraway from injury-related absences, I might wager on this staff trying extra like its current kind. Count on a robust efficiency in opposition to the Hawks, who’ve misplaced three straight following a win and have been blown out in two of their final 4 video games.
The choose: Cavaliers -2.5
pelicans vs. Warriors prediction and evaluation
No staff has supplied us with a greater Jekyll and Hyde routine than the Warriors, who’ve been a wholly completely different staff at residence and on the street.
Golden State has appeared each bit like a defending champion at Chase Heart, the place they’ve gained seven of eight video games by a mean of 10.3 factors. Conversely, the Dubs are 1-8 on the street and have been outscored by 8.7 factors per sport. Their solely win got here in opposition to the lowly Rockets on Sunday, once they wanted an NBA-record 23 triples from Klay Thompson (10), Stephen Curry (7), and Andrew Wiggins (6).
Do not count on a repeat efficiency in opposition to the Pelicans, who’ve surrendered the league’s fifth-lowest 3-point proportion (33.4%) to key a top-10 defensive effectivity. Their offense has been even higher, and the anticipated return of Zion Williamson (foot) ought to significantly bolster this unit in a probable residence win.
The choose: Pelicans -6.5
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clippers vs. Jazz prediction and evaluation
I am extremely skeptical of the Clippers’ 10-7 begin, which comes regardless of this staff posting a below-average internet ranking (+0.1) and a 6-1 report straight up in video games determined by seven factors or much less.
Los Angeles owns the NBA’s second-best protection by factors per possession (106.6), however its offense has fittingly been the league’s second-worst by that metric (105.4) with franchise star Kawhi Leonard (knee) nonetheless working his manner again into sport form . Now main scorer Paul George (23.6 PPG) is questionable with a knee situation of his personal, which might be a loss of life blow to this staff’s means to create its personal offense.
Even when he performs, the Clippers have a razor-thin margin for error in opposition to the Jazz, who surprisingly rank seventh in internet ranking (+3.9) and have been electrical offensively behind breakout star Lauri Markkanen (22.3 PPG). Los Angeles is a dreadful 3-6 ATS at residence and will probably be fortunate to flee with an outright win on Monday.
The choose: Jazz +3.5